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how common are shiny lugias?
amoungst the frequent raiders in my group, and bear in mind we are regional and many of us have jobs so these numbers are big for us, most people got a shiny within 10 raids (one person got 3 from 9) with only 2 taking 10 raids or more to get one. I never did stats but the numbers we see probably makes it about 1 in 8 give or take.
Are other people noticing similar?
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They appear to be fairly common (like shiny dratini were during the event), but I'm 0 for 4. It appears lower level players have better odds.... both my kids (lvl 27, 30) got one from their first raid. I'm 40, and none of the 38+ players I often raid with got one.... yet. Theory: Niantic figures it has us hooked (yup), but the casuals need an incentive ;)