First of all, Kaden is still 5* locked, his banner is still up for 3 days.
Second, don't you think its way to early to judge who will be demoted or no? We don't even know will there be free unit among them and who, nor do we know skills IS will give them, nor statlines.
I like yor logic here, but you'r prediction based on speculations and lack of info. Lets just wait till banner trailer comes out, it will be far easier to find out candidates for demotion then.
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Why Lugh will be demoted
Reyson steady stance, beast buff (cant remember which)
Silas steady stance, slaying spear
Silvia mirror stance, barrier blade
Libra wao gun, spur atk/def
Ares, Brazen?
Soleil, firesweep, drive res
Nanna, drive def
Morgan M, spur def/res
What do they all have in common? They all bring something with their demotions. Above all else, they bring a new weapon. IS may not have many demotes nowadays, but when they do they try to make them count. The only exception to this rule was Ares vs Lene, which I think was a mistake on their part. i think they demoted Ares instead was specifically for sword valor, and because they didnt want Silvia and Lene to be redundant. For Morgan M, it was more they just weren't demoting two people. Nothing really kept Morgan locked besides maybe being a mage flier.
So Lugh having that tome means he will likely get demoted because they are on a mission. This is shown even more when you see the grail unit skills they are trying to add for us.
But it makes me wonder if their mission is demote green units overall because they are the smallest pool. Because that'll be 3 in a row with Kaden and Reyson. And Libra wasnt far apart from that.
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These speculations are the things we used to tell people, no Mikoto won't be demoted. No, Ylgr isn't gonna get demoted. No, we aren't demoting Fallen Celica. So in fant I think I know enough right now to almost gaurantee a demote without even seeing the skills.
They demote those who don't have prfs usually. Sue isn't going to be demoted I can gauranteed. Rutger is whether or not he as a prf, which looks to be the case. And Idunn is an in your dreams demote. So just based off the weapon we have enough to be decently certain about it.
It is too soon for Kaden, but it's pretty likely. Wasnt the main point as you see I didnt put him in the overall list. It seems like they want to add green
Do i need to point out exeptions of this rule for you? It's not all about lack of prf weapon, it's about skills and stats.
i'm sure they planned to give out Ares, due to Kana and Linus has brazzen skills, albeit at 5* only.
Velouria is also likely, she has weaker prf and older skills than he, so we might get her instead (or both, who knows).
Please, don't be too fast on predictions, no one knows what IS have in mind for sure, exept for IS themseves.
The exceptions I've already wrote in the OP. And I see no harm in making predictions now. People were confidently saying Velouria will be demoted until stats, and then Kaden afterwards. When in actuality IS isn't demoting based off stats, but their skills and a few other factors. I think it's Kaden because he has a new demote skill, but I'm not certain.
The only harm in me predicting the demote now is...? None? I get someone's hopes up? Again this was a response to someone who said they thought he'd be locked because of his tome. I'm saying that aint it, if anything it helps the case
Dude, I'm one for guessing stuff, namely LHB's and MHB's.
But you're guessing without seeing skills. We only have color and weapons. And as far as we know, IS can either choose to demote no one, or demote a unit with a prf weapon (as was the case for Ares).
So overall, wait till the Beast banner is done before going on wild goose chases. Once you have actual concrete info on if Kaden was demoted to back up your claims (not to mention you called back to Libra which was months ago), then I'm sure others will happily go "nice find" opposed to "there's not enough info"
Just saying dude, just saying XD
The last part was the least relevant why is no one commenting on the main part? Out of all the units recently demoted, nearly none of them had prfs but Ares, which is why I explained I think he was a mistake. It looked like they changed the demote last minute to keep sword valor locked and because they don't want Silvia and Lene in the pool. The reason I made this was to say him having that tome boosted his likeliness to get demoted, because an older post said the opposite.
Ty for contributing at the very least
